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MARKET TIMING with DECISION MOOSE

Welcome

Welcome to Decision Moose, a proprietary asset allocation and market timing model provided to internet users for free by its creator, William Dirlam.

This site tracks Index Moose, an automated market timing mechanism developed in 1989. Updated weekly, Index Moose relies on technical analysis to time exchange traded index funds (ETFs). It has two objectives: to consistently outperform financial market averages, and to minimize the risk of doing so.

Time Period	Moose	SPY
Index Moose (since 08/30/1996)	2391%	33%
ETF Index Moose (since 05/07/2000)	805%	-39%
8 years (416 weeks)	696%	-1%
7 years (354 weeks)	619%	-24%
6 Years (312 weeks)	224%	0%
5 Years (260 weeks)	154%	-19%
4 Years (208 weeks)	98%	-26%
3 Years (156 weeks)	63%	-31%
2 Years (104 weeks)	37%	-38%
1 Year (52 weeks)	12%	-41%

Risk-Adjusted Return: Sharpe Ratio (3 year)	7.81	-2.86

The Fine Print

The information on this site is presented free of charge. It is no substitute for the services of a professional investment advisor. Investments recommended may not be appropriate for all investors. Recommendations are made without consideration of your financial sophistication, financial situation, investing time horizon, or risk tolerance. Readers are urged to consult with their own independent financial advisers with respect to any investment.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Model signals and related analysis are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy securities. Most financial instruments (stocks, bonds, funds) carry risk to principal and are not insured by the government. Anyone using this site for investment purposes does so at his or her own risk.

Data accuracy cannot be guaranteed. Opinions and analyses included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable and written in good faith, but no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to their accuracy, completeness, timeliness, or correctness. We are not liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or for the lack of timeliness of, or for any delay or interruptions in, the transmission thereof to the users.

As a matter of policy, we do not act upon the investment information that this site provides prior to making it available to the public. We do not accept compensation of any kind from any companies mentioned herein.

This is a private Web site providing a private service. No part of its content may be copied or forwarded to anyone else; the sole exception is a one-time forwarding to inform others of this service.