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MARKET
TIMING WITH DECISION MOOSE
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Welcome to Decision Moose, a proprietary asset
allocation and market timing model provided to internet users for
free by its creator, William
Dirlam.
This site
tracks Index Moose, an automated market timing mechanism developed
in 1989. Updated weekly, Index Moose relies on technical
analysis to time exchange traded index funds (ETFs). It
has two objectives.
First--
to consistently outperform financial market averages.
|
Time
Period |
Index
Moose |
S&P500
(SPY) |
| Index Moose Total (since
8/30/96) |
2379% |
95% |
| ETF Version (since
5/7/00) |
800% |
-10% |
| 8
Years (416
weeks) |
603% |
14% |
| 7 Years
(364 weeks) |
579% |
4% |
| 6 Years
(312 weeks) |
269% |
42% |
| 5 Years (260
weeks) |
222% |
27% |
| 4 Years
(208 weeks) |
113% |
13% |
| 3 Years
(156 weeks) |
77% |
7% |
| 2 Years
(104 weeks) |
47% |
0% |
| 1 Year (52
weeks) |
7% |
-13% |
Second-- to minimize the risk of
doing so.
|
Risk-Adjusted
Return |
Index
Moose |
S&P
(SPY) |
Vanguard
Balanced |
| Sharpe
Ratio (3 year) |
8.27 |
0.71 |
0.48 |
The
information on this site is presented
free of charge. It is no substitute for the services of a
professional investment advisor. Investments recommended may not be
appropriate for all investors. Recommendations are made without
consideration of your financial sophistication, financial situation,
investing time horizon, or risk tolerance. Readers are urged to
consult with their own independent financial advisers with respect
to any investment.
Past performance is
no guarantee of future results. Model signals and related analysis
are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as
an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy securities.
Most financial instruments (stocks, bonds, funds) carry risk to
principal and are not insured by the government. Anyone using this
site for investment purposes does so at his or her own
risk.
Data accuracy cannot
be guaranteed. Opinions and analyses included herein are based on
sources believed to be reliable and written in good faith, but no
representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to
their accuracy, completeness, timeliness, or correctness. We are not
liable for any errors or inaccuracies, regardless of cause, or for
the lack of timeliness of, or for any delay or interruptions in, the
transmission thereof to the users.
As a matter of
policy, we do not act upon the investment information that this site
provides prior to making it available to the public. We do not
accept compensation of any kind from any companies mentioned
herein.
This is a private Web
site providing a private service. No part of its content may be
copied or forwarded to anyone else; the sole exception is a one-time
forwarding to inform others of this service.
If you understand and
accept these caveats, click below to enter. If not, click "back" on
your browser.
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